On the eve of the General Election a national poll is predicting Labour victories in both West Lothian constituencies.
If voters follow YouGov predictions the SNP could lose the seats the party has held since 2015 when Labour was banished across Scotland.
You Gov polling shows both constituencies in a “lean” towards Labour and also predicts a strong showing for Reform – suggesting the newly formed party could beat Conservatives to take third place.
The findings are based on You Gov’s MRP projections from mid campaign.
Voters go to the polls tomorrow in Livingston and Bathgate and Linlithgow constituencies. Both are different to the constituencies from 2019, but only with slight boundary changes, and a new name or Bathgate and Linlithgow.
In Livingston the SNP’s Hannah Bardell is defending a majority of 13,435, 46.9 per cent of the vote, gained in December 2019. On that night local Conservative group leader on the Council Damian Doran-Timson took second place with 12,182 votes, 22.3 per cent of the vote. Labour came in third place.
YouGov’s prediction for this year, taken from polling between 11 and 18 June, suggests a Labour gain, taking 39 per cent of the vote and placing SNP second with 31 per cent. Reform takes a distant third with 8.8 per cent. The Conservatives are pushed into fifth place with 5.2 per cent of the vote in the YouGov poll.
In the newly named Bathgate and Linlithgow constituency Martyn Day will be defending an 11,266 majority. In 2019 he polled 44.2 per cent of the vote for the SNP. The Conservatives took second place with 14,285 votes, 24.7 per cent of the vote. Labour were third with 10,517.
YouGov’s predictions for the same polling period as Livingston in mid campaign predict a Labour win, taking 38.2 pre cent of the poll. The SNP in second place with 30.8 per cent of the poll and Reform, again distant third with 9.2 per cent of the poll. Predictions show the Conservatives dropping into fourth place with 7.3 per cent of the poll.
Polls open at 7am and close at 10pm. Residents will need to provide some form of photo ID to vote in this General Election.
The full list of candidates for Livingston is: Bardell, Hannah Mary: SNP – Doran-Timson, Damian Joseph: Conservative – Ewen, Debbie: Alba – Glasgow, Cameron: Greens – Lindsay, Caron: Liberal Democrats – McLennan, David: Reform – Poynton, Gregor Arthur: Labour
The full list of candidates for Bathgate and Linlithgow is: Day, Martyn: SNP – Hannah, John: Independence for Scotland Party – Jay, Simon Caleb: Greens – McArthur, Stuart James: Independent – McNamee, Jamie: Reform – Munro, Lynn Edith: Conservative – Pattle, Sally: Liberal Democrats – Sullivan, Kirsteen Ann: Labour
By Stuart Sommerville Local Democracy Reporter
The Local Democracy Reporting Service (LDRS) is a public service news agency. It is funded by the BBC, provided by the local news sector (in Edinburgh that is Reach plc (the publisher behind Edinburgh Live and The Daily Record) and used by many qualifying partners. Local Democracy Reporters cover news about top-tier local authorities and other public service organisations.
